Covaleda vs Piqueras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
30.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+132%
+1060%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Covaleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ABE
2 - 1
COV
43%
22%
35%
|
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TAR
5 - 0
COV
76%
15%
9%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
QUI
1 - 1
COV
51%
21%
28%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
COV
1 - 1
CDC
10%
14%
76%
|
6 | 14 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 0
COV
50%
22%
28%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Piqueras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
PIQ
1 - 2
CAS
32%
23%
46%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
GOL
2 - 0
PIQ
87%
9%
4%
|
6 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
PIQ
1 - 2
VIS
46%
23%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SJE
1 - 0
PIQ
60%
20%
20%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
QUI
2 - 2
PIQ
41%
23%
36%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |