Covaleda vs Valeranica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
65.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+365%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Covaleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
EST
1 - 0
COV
66%
18%
16%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
COV
1 - 3
TAR
14%
19%
67%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
COV
3 - 1
ARC
60%
20%
20%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
COV
4 - 1
NOR
15%
19%
66%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
LAN
2 - 1
COV
87%
9%
4%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Valeranica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 1
CAS
81%
13%
6%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
GOL
2 - 0
VAL
61%
19%
20%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 1
QUI
63%
20%
18%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 1
VIS
46%
23%
31%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SJE
4 - 1
VAL
18%
19%
63%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -2 |