Ciudad de Baza vs CD Dúrcal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
41.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-71%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad de Baza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
GAB
4 - 0
CIU
85%
10%
5%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CIU
2 - 1
CEL
10%
16%
74%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
PUR
1 - 2
CIU
72%
17%
11%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CIU
0 - 3
CFC
19%
24%
57%
|
6 | 12 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SAL
1 - 1
CIU
80%
14%
7%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
CD Dúrcal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
CEL
1 - 1
CDD
76%
14%
10%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CDD
1 - 4
CFC
42%
24%
34%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CUL
1 - 0
CDD
77%
14%
9%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CDD
1 - 5
SAN
15%
19%
66%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 0
CDD
67%
17%
15%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |