Castroviejo vs Tardelcuende analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
70.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-96%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castroviejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
QUI
2 - 2
CAS
53%
21%
26%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 2
VAL
14%
18%
68%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
EST
5 - 1
CAS
72%
16%
12%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 2
ARC
67%
18%
15%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
LAN
5 - 1
CAS
82%
12%
6%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Tardelcuende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
TAR
0 - 1
GOL
53%
22%
25%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
SJE
1 - 2
TAR
6%
13%
81%
|
17 | 5 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
TAR
6 - 1
NOR
84%
11%
5%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
PIQ
0 - 2
TAR
12%
18%
70%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
TAR
5 - 2
ABE
84%
12%
5%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |