Castilla Palencia vs San Esteban analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
8.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castilla Palencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 2
CDC
17%
20%
63%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
CDC
0 - 0
COL
30%
23%
47%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
CDC
5 - 4
TAR
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
CAL
1 - 3
CDC
15%
19%
66%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
CDC
0 - 2
TUR
66%
18%
16%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
San Esteban
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
EST
0 - 2
CAL
60%
20%
20%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
TUR
0 - 1
EST
66%
18%
16%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
EST
1 - 0
INT
60%
19%
21%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
CEB
7 - 0
EST
74%
15%
11%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
EST
1 - 1
CAR
72%
16%
12%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -1 |