Carrion vs Villada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
64.7%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.8%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+88%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 3
CDF
17%
19%
64%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
VDB
1 - 0
CAR
74%
15%
12%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 1
GRI
58%
19%
23%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
AST
3 - 3
CAR
85%
10%
5%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 4
CDV
16%
15%
69%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Villada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 1
CAS
68%
17%
15%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CDF
0 - 0
VIL
45%
21%
34%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 2
VDB
63%
19%
19%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
GRI
0 - 4
VIL
12%
15%
74%
|
16 | 5 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 5
AST
53%
20%
27%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |