Carrion vs Guardense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.7%
25.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
JOP
73%
15%
12%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
4 - 2
CAS
26%
21%
54%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 3
VIL
17%
18%
65%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 3
CDF
17%
19%
64%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
VDB
1 - 0
CAR
74%
15%
12%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Guardense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CDF
7 - 0
GUA
71%
16%
13%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
GUA
3 - 2
GRI
62%
17%
21%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
AST
4 - 1
GUA
81%
12%
8%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
GUA
4 - 3
CDV
16%
15%
69%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
UDB
2 - 1
GUA
24%
19%
57%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | -1 |