Carrion vs Atlético Aguilar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
40.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+118%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
CER
2 - 1
CAR
80%
12%
8%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CAR
8 - 1
PAL
53%
21%
26%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
SAL
3 - 0
CAR
51%
22%
27%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 0
VIL
55%
20%
25%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 2
CAR
72%
15%
12%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Aguilar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
ATA
2 - 0
VIL
11%
16%
73%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CDF
3 - 2
ATA
74%
15%
11%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ATA
1 - 2
VDB
16%
20%
64%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
GRI
1 - 4
ATA
56%
19%
25%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ATA
2 - 3
AST
12%
18%
71%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |