Carrion vs Castilla Dueñas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
53.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+118%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 3
VIL
17%
18%
65%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 3
CDF
17%
19%
64%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
VDB
1 - 0
CAR
74%
15%
12%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 1
GRI
58%
19%
23%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
AST
3 - 3
CAR
85%
10%
5%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Castilla Dueñas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
CER
2 - 0
CAS
70%
17%
13%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 1
CAS
68%
17%
15%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CAS
4 - 0
PAL
74%
15%
12%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 3
CDF
37%
22%
41%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
SAL
1 - 2
CAS
45%
24%
32%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |