Astudillo vs Villada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
11%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astudillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
CDF
1 - 2
AST
31%
21%
47%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
CER
1 - 4
AST
27%
22%
52%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
AST
2 - 1
VDB
81%
12%
7%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
GRI
0 - 2
AST
8%
14%
78%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
AST
2 - 1
CAS
81%
12%
7%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Villada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 6
CDV
47%
20%
34%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
UDB
2 - 8
VIL
10%
15%
75%
|
17 | 6 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 3
VIL
15%
18%
67%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
VIL
5 - 1
ATA
64%
19%
18%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CER
3 - 3
VIL
58%
20%
22%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |