Arces vs Unión Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
61.4%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+122%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
CDV
2 - 0
ARC
71%
18%
12%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ARC
0 - 1
UDS
15%
18%
67%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
RAY
1 - 2
ARC
41%
22%
37%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ARC
3 - 2
RIO
21%
21%
58%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ATO
1 - 0
ARC
33%
23%
44%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
UNI
5 - 3
AGU
75%
15%
11%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
UVA
0 - 2
UNI
75%
15%
11%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 0
PED
55%
20%
25%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CDV
2 - 0
UNI
47%
23%
30%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 4
UDS
65%
18%
17%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -2 |