Arces vs CD San Agustin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
20.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+454%
+113%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
UVA
1 - 0
ARC
34%
23%
43%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ARC
2 - 3
PED
58%
20%
22%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 1
ARC
50%
22%
29%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ARC
3 - 5
CDV
40%
23%
37%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
UDS
1 - 0
ARC
64%
18%
18%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CD San Agustin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
VIC
2 - 0
AGU
81%
12%
7%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
AGU
5 - 0
UVA
34%
21%
45%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
PED
1 - 1
AGU
73%
16%
12%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
AGU
2 - 3
UNI
23%
20%
57%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CDV
4 - 1
AGU
77%
14%
8%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |