CD Alfaro vs CD Varea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
45.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
RRI
1 - 0
ALF
60%
20%
20%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
ALF
1 - 0
UDL
32%
25%
43%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
NAX
3 - 1
ALF
63%
20%
17%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
ALF
3 - 4
RRI
28%
23%
50%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
UDL
0 - 1
ALF
55%
22%
23%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Varea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
VAR
2 - 1
CDC
53%
21%
26%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
UDL
3 - 0
VAR
40%
24%
36%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
VAR
1 - 3
NAX
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
RRI
1 - 1
VAR
47%
22%
32%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
VAR
2 - 2
UDL
58%
21%
21%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |