CD Alameda MESA Sub 19 vs Odelot Toletum Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
18.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
3º
15º
7º
26
4º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 58 |
6º
|
74.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
54 | 57 |
7º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
85% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
50 | 50 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
85% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
85% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 36 |
13º
|
79.5% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
65.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
73% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 27 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
8 | 9 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alameda MESA Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
CFT
2 - 1
ALA
21%
21%
59%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 0
CDT
67%
17%
16%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ALM
1 - 1
ALA
58%
19%
23%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
ALA
2 - 1
CDG
49%
21%
30%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
EFF
1 - 0
ALA
33%
22%
45%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Odelot Toletum Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
ODE
4 - 1
JES
32%
21%
47%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ODE
1 - 6
UBC
12%
17%
71%
|
6 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
CFT
2 - 1
ODE
42%
22%
35%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
ODE
4 - 2
CDT
26%
21%
53%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ALM
2 - 0
ODE
80%
12%
8%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | 0 |