Caxias do Sul vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
64.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
CAX
1 - 0
ECS
36%
25%
38%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
NOV
0 - 1
CAX
22%
26%
53%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
POR
0 - 1
CAX
32%
27%
41%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CAX
2 - 0
ECA
77%
16%
7%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 1
CAX
73%
18%
9%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
JEQ
0 - 1
BAH
8%
19%
73%
|
86 | 47 | 39 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
CEA
1 - 2
BAH
45%
25%
30%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
BAH
2 - 0
JAC
85%
11%
4%
|
85 | 52 | 33 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
CRB
0 - 1
BAH
30%
26%
44%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SDJ
1 - 2
BAH
9%
19%
72%
|
85 | 52 | 33 | 0 |