Catania vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
61%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2008 |
JUV
1 - 1
CAT
77%
15%
7%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2008 |
CAT
1 - 1
ROM
15%
24%
61%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
CAT
1 - 2
REG
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
UDI
2 - 1
CAT
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
CAT
1 - 0
LAZ
27%
26%
47%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2008 |
ROM
2 - 1
ATL
77%
16%
8%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2008 |
CAT
1 - 1
ROM
15%
24%
61%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
SAM
0 - 3
ROM
26%
26%
49%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
ROM
4 - 1
TOR
79%
15%
6%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
ROM
1 - 1
LIV
78%
15%
7%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |