Catania vs Picerno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
27.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
RPO
1 - 0
CAT
26%
26%
48%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
BRI
0 - 2
CAT
19%
26%
55%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CAT
0 - 2
AVE
55%
25%
21%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
CAT
15%
24%
60%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CAT
1 - 0
TAR
62%
23%
15%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Picerno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
MON
1 - 3
PIC
27%
28%
45%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
PIC
2 - 0
USF
27%
26%
47%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
PIC
33%
28%
39%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
PIC
1 - 1
MES
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
BEN
2 - 2
PIC
73%
18%
9%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |