Castuera vs Moralo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
70.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
14%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castuera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2019 |
ARR
3 - 3
CAS
57%
23%
21%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
OLI
6 - 4
CAS
62%
21%
17%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
CAS
0 - 1
JER
18%
22%
60%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
ADL
2 - 0
CAS
59%
21%
20%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 1
CDD
36%
24%
40%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2019 |
MOR
3 - 2
JER
66%
19%
15%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
ADL
2 - 1
MOR
15%
21%
64%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
MOR
2 - 1
CDD
79%
14%
7%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
VAL
1 - 2
MOR
8%
17%
75%
|
35 | 11 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 1
EXT
67%
19%
14%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |