Castro vs Tropezón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
70.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
CUL
2 - 1
CAS
33%
25%
42%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 0
BAR
44%
25%
31%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 0
CAR
42%
26%
32%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 0
CAS
45%
24%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 1
SEL
43%
25%
31%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Tropezón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
TRO
0 - 1
CAR
84%
11%
5%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
TRO
13%
19%
68%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
TRO
4 - 2
SEL
80%
13%
7%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
GIM
1 - 1
TRO
34%
23%
42%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
SDT
3 - 4
TRO
12%
18%
70%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |