Castro FC U19 vs SD Nueva Montaña U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
8.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-78%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
3º
13º
6º
34
10º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
52 | 52 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
16 | 16 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro FC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
REA
1 - 1
CFC
73%
16%
12%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CFC
1 - 0
CDM
69%
17%
14%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
PEA
2 - 3
CFC
35%
21%
44%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CFC
2 - 2
RSG
59%
19%
22%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SDS
1 - 0
CFC
52%
22%
26%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
SD Nueva Montaña U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SDN
0 - 5
ASN
46%
22%
32%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
CDT
6 - 0
SDN
73%
16%
11%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
REA
6 - 0
SDN
89%
8%
3%
|
5 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SDN
0 - 1
CDM
42%
22%
36%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
PEA
1 - 1
SDN
64%
18%
18%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | +1 |