Castelo SD vs Cañiza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
36.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castelo SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 1
SAN
42%
23%
35%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
SJR
2 - 1
CAS
63%
19%
18%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 1
ATV
25%
23%
52%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
TOM
5 - 0
CAS
78%
13%
9%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 2
CAS
55%
22%
24%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Cañiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
CAÑ
41%
22%
36%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CAÑ
0 - 2
SJR
46%
21%
32%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ATV
3 - 1
CAÑ
61%
19%
20%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CAÑ
1 - 2
TOM
32%
22%
45%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 2
CAÑ
41%
22%
37%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | 0 |