At. Castellserà vs Balaguer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
58.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+189%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Castellserà
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
ALP
2 - 2
CAS
71%
16%
13%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CAS
4 - 1
AEG
23%
22%
55%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SOL
2 - 3
CAS
36%
24%
40%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 0
PAN
54%
23%
22%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
2 - 0
CAS
57%
20%
23%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Balaguer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 1
BAL
56%
21%
23%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ALC
1 - 0
BAL
23%
22%
56%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 0
SOS
87%
10%
4%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 2
BAL
6%
14%
80%
|
18 | 6 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
BAL
4 - 0
OLI
89%
9%
3%
|
18 | 6 | 12 | 0 |