Copa Verde Quarter-finals
Global 2-4
Castanhal vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
54.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castanhal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
PAY
1 - 1
CAS
70%
18%
11%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 2
CAS
33%
24%
43%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
FAS
0 - 2
CAS
21%
23%
55%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 2
MOT
51%
25%
24%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
MOT
2 - 0
CAS
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
PAY
0 - 1
CRI
42%
29%
29%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 0
PAY
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
PAY
1 - 1
CAS
70%
18%
11%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
PAY
1 - 4
ITU
40%
29%
32%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
PAY
6 - 0
PEN
76%
17%
8%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |