Caruaru City vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
64.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caruaru City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
SAL
2 - 2
CAR
70%
18%
12%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 0
AME
42%
23%
36%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
ISC
1 - 1
CAR
37%
23%
40%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 0
PET
30%
22%
48%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +3 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
YPI
1 - 1
CAR
37%
24%
39%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 3
FLO
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 1
BOT
30%
30%
40%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
TOM
2 - 1
SAN
70%
20%
9%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 1
ALT
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
PAY
1 - 0
SAN
60%
25%
16%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |