FC Cartagena vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
70.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
ALC
1 - 1
CAR
35%
27%
38%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 3
RAC
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 0
CAR
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 1
VIL
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
FCA
0 - 1
CAR
33%
29%
38%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 1
VCF
60%
21%
19%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
CDG
1 - 2
VIL
2%
15%
83%
|
89 | 47 | 42 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
NAP
2 - 3
VIL
64%
20%
17%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2022 |
ASV
0 - 1
VIL
30%
24%
46%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
GAL
3 - 4
VIL
25%
24%
51%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |