Carlisle United vs Hull City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
30.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2001 |
LIN
1 - 1
CUM
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
SOU
1 - 1
CUM
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
CUM
0 - 0
BHA
32%
29%
39%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2001 |
SCU
3 - 0
CUM
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
CUM
1 - 0
BPO
38%
27%
35%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Hull City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2001 |
SOU
1 - 1
HUL
47%
28%
25%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
HUL
3 - 1
CHE
41%
28%
31%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
DAR
0 - 2
HUL
50%
27%
23%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2001 |
HUL
0 - 0
YOR
54%
25%
21%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
HAR
0 - 1
HUL
63%
22%
15%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |