Carlisle United vs Fleetwood Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
52.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2020 |
GAT
1 - 1
CUM
25%
23%
51%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2020 |
CUM
2 - 0
NEW
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
CUM
0 - 3
COL
36%
27%
37%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
CAM
1 - 2
CUM
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CUM
2 - 2
MOR
60%
22%
19%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Fleetwood Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
FLE
1 - 4
BBU
29%
23%
49%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
STO
0 - 2
FLE
16%
21%
63%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2020 |
WYC
2 - 2
FLE
38%
24%
38%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2020 |
FLE
1 - 4
WYC
53%
24%
24%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2020 |
OPA
2 - 2
FLE
62%
22%
17%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |