Cearense 2 Etapas Finales Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
Cariri vs Guarani de Juazeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
42.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+81%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cariri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
CFS
50%
22%
28%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
PAC
1 - 2
CFS
63%
20%
17%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CFS
5 - 0
PAC
48%
23%
29%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ICA
1 - 0
CFS
65%
19%
16%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
GPM
2 - 1
CFS
47%
22%
30%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
CFS
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
ITA
3 - 2
GUA
54%
24%
22%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 0
PAC
63%
20%
17%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
GPM
1 - 0
GUA
41%
23%
36%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
GUA
32%
26%
42%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |