Cardiff City vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
39.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
SOU
3 - 2
CAR
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
CAR
0 - 0
QPR
52%
25%
22%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
PLY
0 - 1
CAR
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
WOL
2 - 0
CAR
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
CAR
1 - 0
SHW
62%
23%
16%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
REA
5 - 0
DER
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
LEI
1 - 1
REA
32%
28%
40%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
REA
1 - 1
WOL
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
REA
0 - 0
WAT
60%
23%
18%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
BUR
0 - 3
REA
34%
28%
38%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | +1 |