Cardassar vs Ferriolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardassar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
JOS
3 - 2
CAR
46%
23%
32%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 0
UDA
66%
20%
15%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
FRR
1 - 0
CAR
31%
24%
46%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
SCD
2 - 5
CAR
22%
21%
56%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
CAR
5 - 0
ALQ
86%
11%
4%
|
23 | 6 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Ferriolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
FER
2 - 1
UDR
37%
26%
38%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FLN
0 - 0
FER
50%
24%
26%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
MUR
1 - 3
FER
18%
23%
59%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FER
1 - 1
UDR
35%
26%
39%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
STA
1 - 2
FER
26%
25%
49%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |