Cardassar vs Atletico Rafal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardassar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SER
2 - 2
CAR
22%
23%
55%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
UDA
67%
19%
14%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CDS
0 - 1
CAR
32%
25%
44%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
STA
69%
18%
12%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 1
PON
83%
12%
5%
|
24 | 8 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Atletico Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 1
PON
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ESP
2 - 1
ATL
37%
25%
38%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 1
PET
73%
16%
10%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
MUR
1 - 0
ATL
34%
26%
41%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 1
ESP
42%
24%
34%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |