Cardassar vs Atletico Rafal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardassar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SSA
1 - 7
CAR
13%
19%
68%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CAR
5 - 1
CEX
68%
19%
13%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CAM
0 - 2
CAR
17%
21%
63%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 0
ALC
34%
24%
42%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 2
CAR
15%
21%
64%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Atletico Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
RLV
0 - 0
ATL
45%
24%
31%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ATL
0 - 0
SSA
70%
17%
13%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CEX
1 - 0
ATL
41%
25%
34%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ATL
4 - 0
CAM
51%
23%
27%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
ALC
3 - 0
ATL
71%
18%
11%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | -1 |