Carcacía vs Araño SD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
31.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+469%
+98%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carcacía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ABA
0 - 0
CAR
67%
17%
17%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CAR
5 - 1
CFL
51%
21%
28%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
COR
2 - 1
CAR
44%
22%
35%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 0
EXT
23%
20%
57%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
XUN
3 - 3
CAR
42%
20%
38%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Araño SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 2
ABA
28%
21%
51%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CFL
2 - 2
ARA
28%
21%
51%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ARA
2 - 1
COR
41%
22%
37%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
EXT
2 - 0
ARA
51%
20%
29%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ARA
4 - 2
XUN
53%
20%
27%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | +1 |