Riga FC vs SK Super Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.7%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.1%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.6%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
0
12.2%
4%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
88
1º
3º
2º
14
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
RIG
40%
23%
37%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BFC
0 - 2
CAR
14%
23%
62%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
4 - 0
FKT
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
AUD
0 - 1
CAR
32%
26%
42%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 1
LIE
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
SK Super Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SUP
0 - 2
VAL
7%
16%
78%
|
44 | 76 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FSM
0 - 1
SUP
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SUP
1 - 1
FKJ
21%
24%
55%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
SUP
82%
13%
4%
|
41 | 76 | 35 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SUP
0 - 1
BFC
25%
24%
51%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | -1 |