Caracas vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
59.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
CFC
1 - 2
BAR
63%
23%
15%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
CFC
37%
28%
36%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
CFC
0 - 1
ANG
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
APC
2 - 0
CFC
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ZAM
2 - 2
CFC
32%
28%
40%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ATM
2 - 2
CRZ
63%
22%
16%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
AMF
2 - 1
ATM
37%
27%
37%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ATM
2 - 0
AMF
58%
22%
19%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ATM
3 - 0
IFC
94%
5%
1%
|
89 | 51 | 38 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
AMF
1 - 1
ATM
40%
26%
34%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |