Caracas vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
13.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
CFC
0 - 0
TAC
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
CFC
2 - 2
LAR
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
CFC
2 - 0
MON
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
TAC
1 - 0
CFC
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
CFC
4 - 1
EST
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
MET
2 - 2
ARA
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
ARA
1 - 0
BAR
33%
28%
40%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
APC
2 - 3
ARA
49%
26%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2021 |
ARA
1 - 1
POR
41%
29%
30%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
ARA
0 - 2
MET
33%
30%
37%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |