Carabobo vs Portuguesa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
23.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
2º
3º
2º
8
4º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
14 | 14 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
11 | 11 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 9 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 8 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
8 | 8 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 6 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 6 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 2 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
CFC
49%
27%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
TAC
1 - 0
CAR
47%
28%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 2
DRZ
60%
23%
16%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
POR
0 - 0
CAR
38%
30%
32%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
EST
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ZAM
0 - 2
POR
35%
29%
36%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
POR
3 - 2
EST
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
DEP
0 - 2
POR
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
POR
0 - 0
CAR
38%
30%
32%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
UCV
1 - 0
POR
39%
29%
33%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |