Carabobo vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.4%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
69.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
18.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
16.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 0
ZAM
34%
28%
37%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
CFC
0 - 0
CAR
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ZAM
1 - 4
CAR
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 0
MET
33%
28%
39%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MON
2 - 1
CAR
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ATM
2 - 1
PAT
88%
9%
3%
|
90 | 40 | 50 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
CRZ
1 - 1
ATM
15%
24%
62%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
ATM
3 - 0
DEM
88%
9%
3%
|
90 | 43 | 47 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
IFC
0 - 1
ATM
11%
21%
68%
|
90 | 53 | 37 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
TOM
1 - 2
ATM
10%
21%
70%
|
90 | 61 | 29 | 0 |