Carabobo vs Angostura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
20%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
2º
3º
2º
6
4º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
14 | 14 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
11 | 11 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 9 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 8 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 8 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 6 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
6 | 6 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 2 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 1
APC
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
APC
0 - 2
CAR
50%
27%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
ANG
1 - 1
CAR
35%
31%
35%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
POR
49%
27%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
CFC
49%
27%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Angostura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
ANG
3 - 4
POR
35%
30%
35%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
POR
2 - 2
ANG
50%
27%
23%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
ANG
1 - 1
CAR
35%
31%
35%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
APC
1 - 1
ANG
58%
24%
19%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MET
2 - 0
ANG
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |