Capivariano vs Noroeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capivariano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
CAP
2 - 0
COM
58%
23%
20%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
MON
1 - 1
CAP
20%
22%
57%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
CAP
0 - 0
SAO
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
AUD
2 - 2
CAP
25%
24%
52%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
BAT
0 - 5
CAP
19%
23%
59%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
NOR
1 - 1
BER
64%
22%
14%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
NOR
1 - 1
TAB
62%
22%
16%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
BAT
0 - 0
NOR
32%
27%
41%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
NOR
1 - 0
BAR
34%
27%
39%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
NOR
1 - 0
OLI
40%
26%
35%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |