Canonja vs Morell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.2%
5.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canonja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
GOR
1 - 1
CAN
46%
22%
32%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CAN
2 - 1
CEE
46%
22%
32%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SJU
2 - 2
CAN
76%
15%
10%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CAN
0 - 2
CFV
21%
21%
58%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 2
CAN
19%
20%
61%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Morell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 3
FCA
14%
21%
66%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SIT
1 - 1
MOR
82%
12%
6%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 5
UES
12%
20%
68%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 0
MOR
74%
15%
11%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 1
TTE
22%
21%
56%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |