Canelas 2010 vs Montalegre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
12.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
7º
6º
21
6º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canelas 2010
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 1
CAN
57%
25%
18%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CAN
2 - 2
FEL
35%
26%
39%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 3
VIT
6%
16%
78%
|
38 | 77 | 39 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ANA
1 - 0
CAN
38%
29%
33%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ORI
0 - 2
CAN
38%
25%
38%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Montalegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MON
1 - 2
VIL
16%
22%
62%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
VAR
2 - 1
MON
75%
19%
7%
|
27 | 58 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MON
1 - 3
SAO
32%
26%
43%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MON
2 - 2
SAO
31%
24%
45%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
UDL
0 - 1
MON
72%
18%
10%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | +1 |