Canelas 2010 vs Anadia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
7º
5º
20
3º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canelas 2010
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 2
CAN
37%
27%
36%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
CAN
1 - 0
LUS
32%
26%
42%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
VSC
1 - 1
CAN
23%
24%
53%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
CAN
3 - 1
ANA
60%
21%
19%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 2
CAN
38%
30%
32%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Anadia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
ARO
2 - 1
ANA
85%
12%
3%
|
33 | 73 | 40 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
ANA
2 - 1
PAR
38%
27%
35%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
CAN
3 - 1
ANA
60%
21%
19%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ANA
2 - 0
VSC
63%
20%
17%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 1
ANA
48%
26%
27%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |