Canada vs Cuba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
14%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1996 |
CAN
3 - 1
PAN
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1996 |
CAN
0 - 1
CRC
44%
24%
32%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1996 |
BRA
4 - 1
CAN
86%
11%
4%
|
77 | 98 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1996 |
CAN
3 - 1
HND
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1995 |
CHI
2 - 0
CAN
70%
19%
10%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cuba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
CUB
3 - 1
PAN
55%
24%
22%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
CUB
0 - 5
SLV
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1996 |
GTM
1 - 1
CUB
54%
25%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1996 |
HND
2 - 2
CUB
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1996 |
HND
4 - 0
CUB
69%
20%
12%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |