Camarena vs Navahermosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.6%
19.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1108%
-67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Camarena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
TAL
2 - 2
CAM
61%
18%
21%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CAM
4 - 3
SGA
67%
17%
16%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
CAM
1 - 3
TAL
11%
14%
76%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
SCR
2 - 2
CAM
27%
22%
52%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CAM
3 - 1
TOR
8%
14%
77%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Navahermosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
SGA
2 - 2
NVM
42%
21%
37%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
NVM
0 - 1
TAL
30%
21%
50%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
TAL
2 - 0
NVM
77%
14%
10%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
NVM
5 - 0
SCR
43%
21%
36%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
TOR
6 - 0
NVM
86%
9%
5%
|
6 | 15 | 9 | 0 |