Caldense vs Democrata GV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
30.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2022 |
UBE
0 - 1
CAL
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 0
CAL
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 1
POA
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
PAT
0 - 2
CAL
25%
26%
50%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 2
CRZ
10%
23%
67%
|
48 | 74 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Democrata GV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
ATH
1 - 0
DEM
41%
24%
35%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
DEM
1 - 0
TOM
22%
27%
51%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
DEM
3 - 0
UBE
31%
25%
44%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
CRZ
1 - 0
DEM
82%
13%
5%
|
45 | 74 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
DEM
1 - 0
POA
32%
24%
44%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |