Coppa Italia Serie C Final
Global 1-0
Padova vs FC Südtirol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
30.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
PAD
1 - 0
FER
55%
26%
19%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
PAD
2 - 1
PRO
73%
20%
7%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
PAD
1 - 1
LEG
72%
20%
9%
|
63 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
TRE
2 - 2
PAD
11%
22%
66%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
PAD
2 - 1
LEC
65%
23%
12%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
FC Südtirol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
FCS
1 - 0
MAN
70%
21%
9%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
FCS
3 - 1
FIA
76%
17%
8%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
PIA
1 - 0
FCS
17%
26%
58%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
TRE
0 - 1
FCS
14%
25%
61%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
FCS
0 - 0
PRO
72%
20%
8%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |