Cagliari vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
22.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
LEE
6 - 2
CAG
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
STR
1 - 2
CAG
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
OLB
0 - 3
CAG
12%
22%
66%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
VNZ
0 - 0
CAG
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
CAG
1 - 3
INT
11%
21%
68%
|
73 | 92 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
PRG
2 - 0
RIM
85%
12%
4%
|
70 | 41 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
PRG
1 - 4
NAP
8%
20%
72%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
BRE
3 - 2
PRG
62%
21%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
PRG
1 - 0
ASS
34%
28%
38%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
TER
1 - 0
PRG
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |