Cagliari vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
55.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1965 |
BOL
1 - 3
CAG
74%
16%
11%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1965 |
CAG
2 - 1
GEN
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1965 |
CAG
0 - 1
TOR
42%
29%
30%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1965 |
USF
1 - 2
CAG
47%
27%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1965 |
INT
6 - 3
CAG
83%
12%
5%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1965 |
GEN
0 - 0
ACM
18%
24%
58%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1965 |
ACM
1 - 0
VAR
81%
12%
7%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1965 |
ACM
0 - 2
ROM
76%
16%
9%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1965 |
BOL
0 - 2
ACM
40%
24%
35%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
ACM
1 - 0
JUV
62%
21%
17%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |