Cagliari vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
68.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
CAG
2 - 5
ROM
15%
23%
62%
|
55 | 85 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
CAG
0 - 1
PES
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
MON
5 - 3
CAG
44%
24%
32%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1987 |
CAG
0 - 2
GEN
47%
26%
28%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1987 |
TRI
2 - 0
CAG
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 1989 |
JUV
3 - 0
VER
71%
20%
10%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1989 |
PES
0 - 0
JUV
20%
26%
55%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1989 |
JUV
4 - 2
LAZ
76%
17%
7%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1989 |
ATL
0 - 0
JUV
24%
27%
50%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1989 |
JUV
1 - 1
FIO
68%
20%
11%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |